### Stat 302 : Introduction to Probability

#### Course schedule

Stat 302 - 201 (Doucet): 2 lectures per week (Tuesday & Thursday from 2.00 to 3.30) in  MATX 1100.

Stat 302 - 202 (Zamar): 3 lectures per week (Monday, Wednesday & Friday from 1.00 to 2.00) in ANSO 207.

Office hours (TA: Jing Dong & Libo Lu): Tuesday 4-5pm (LSK 301), Wednesday 2-3pm (LSK 312), Thursday 10-11am (LSK 312) and Friday 10-11am (LSK 301) .

Office hour (Zamar): via appointment.
Office hour (Doucet): via appointment.

#### Textbook & Course contents

Sheldon Ross, A First Course in Probability - 8th Edition, Prentice Hall.
We will follow quite closely the textbook.

Announcements

• 26th April: Extra office hours 11-12 and 3-4 in LSK312.
• Misc:  1) the TA's office hours will continue through next week, 2) all the unclaimed papers will be available to students through the TA's office hours, 3) Assignment 3 will be returned to students probably by Friday 23rd.
• Final exam policy: This is a closed-book, closed-notes exam. You can only bring the (partial) cheatsheet provided here plus one page (2-sided, regular letter size) where you can write anything you choose. Only non-programmable calculators will be allowed. A standard normal table will be provided with the exam.
Slides for Stat 302 - 201  (Doucet)
• Week 1: read chapter 1 (except proof by induction of binomial theorem and section 1.6)
• Week 2: read chapter 2  sections 2.1,  2.2., 2.3., 2.4 (except proof Proposition 4.4).
• Week 3: read chapter 2 sections 2.5, 2.6 and chapter 3  section 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and 3.4
• Week 4: read chapter 3 section 3.5 & summary
• Week 5: read chapter 4 section 4.1 to 4.6.
• Week 6: read chapter 4 section 4.7 to 4.10.
• Week 7-8: read chapter 5 section 5.1 to 5.7
• Week 9-10: read chapter 6
• Week 11-12: read chapter 7.1 to 7.6 (except 7.2.1, 7.2.2)
Exercises

Exercises will be given approximately weekly: they will NOT be marked and only partial solutions will be provided. You are strongly encouraged to use the available office hours if you need help with these.

• You can find a Solutions Manual on the web. Beware: this might contain mistakes.
• Week 1:  Chapter 1, Problems: Q4, 6, 8, 11, 13, 18, 19, 21, 22, 23, Theoretical Exercises: Q10     Solutions
• Week 2:  Chapter 2, Problems: Q5, 6, 10, 14, 18, 28, 35, 37, 39, 43, Theoretical Exercises: Q6, 11, 13. (Typo in Solution Q43 (a): 2(N-1)!/N!=2/N and Q43(b): 2(N-2)!/(N-1)!=2/(N-1) )     Solutions
• Weeks 3-4: Chapter 3, Problems: Q5, 12, 16, 18, 26, 28, 33, 37, 48, 57, 61, 73, Theoretical Exercises: Q2, 4, 25 Solutions
• Weeks 5-6: Chapter 4, Problems: Q7, 8, 13, 17, 20, 21, 26, 38, 40, 45, 48, 52, 53, 55, 60, 64, 71, 74, 79, Theoretical Exercises: Q14, 20, 27, 32 Solutions
• Weeks 7-8: Chapter 5,  Problems: Q2, 4, 5, 8, 10, 12, 15, 16, 17, 19, 20, 22, 25, 26, 28, 32, 33, 34, 37, 39, 40, Theoretical Exercises: Q9, 13, 14, 30 (Solutions of Ex 13,14,30 are wrongly written as solutions of Ex 12,13,29 in the Solutions file) Solutions
• Weeks 9-10: Chapter 6, Problems: Q1, 2, 4, 8, 9, 13, 14, 19, 20, 22, 27, 33, 34, 35, 36, 39, 41, 42
Theoretical Exercises: Q5, 7a, 9, 16, 18  Solutions
• Week 10-11: Chapter 7, Problems: Q2, 3, 7, 33, 37, 38, 45, 49, 51, 53, 55, 68, 69, 73, 75, Theoretical Exercises: Q2, 17, 19, 32 Solutions

* If you decide not to do the 3rd assignment, then: 2 assignments (20%), mid-term exam (30%) and final exam (50%).
* If you decide to do the 3rd assignment, then: 3 assignments (25%), mid-term exam (30%) and final exam (45%).

All assignments are to be posted in a box outside Department of Statistics administrative office. They are due on the specified time.
30% off for less than one day late. Assignments will not be accepted after more than one day late.

Assignment 1
Solutions assignment 1

Assignment 2
Solutions assignment 2

Assignment 3
Solutions assignment 3

In any case, you need to get over 50% at the final exam to pass.