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Conditional Probabilities of Convergent Variables

VE allows us to exploit structure in a Bayesian network by providing a factorization of the joint probability distribution. In this section we show how causal independence can be used to factorize the joint distribution even further. The initial factors in the VE algorithm are of the form . We want to break this down into simpler factors so that we do not need a table exponential in m. The following proposition shows how causal independence can be used to do this:

  

Proof:gif The definition of causal independence entails the independence assertions

By the axiom of weak union [28, p. 84,], we have . Thus all of the mutually independent given .

Also we have, by the definition of causal independence , so

Thus we have:

The next four sections develop an algorithm for exploiting causal independence in inference.



David Poole
Fri Dec 6 15:09:32 PST 1996