ARGUMENTATION -7

Source: Economist - carenini@cs.pitt.edu

GENERIC QUESTION: Does the more of something increase the likelihood of an event ?

SPECIFIC QUESTION: Does the rise in the opinion pools that candidates hope to get from the cheering at the convention increase the likelihood of election-day success?

GENERIC ARGUMENT: The more of something (bounce) would plausibly increase the likelihood of an event (election success), but this is not the case. "

TEXT: "..The famous bounce - the rise in the opinion pools that candidates hope to get from the cheering at the convention- is no real pointer to election-day success"